Tuesday 28 July 2015

RAND: Choices for America in a Turbulent World | Contents and Executive Summary

http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1100/RR1114/RAND_RR1114.pdf

Interesting topics listed in the contents:
The Global Economy
Including or Excluding China
Counterterrorist Operations
Nuclear Forces
Counterinsurgency and Stability Operations
Enhancing Allied Defenses
Counterterrorism
Tactical Versus Strategic Counterterrorism
What Will Be Needed to Defeat ISIS?
Picking Partners and Identifying Enemies
Rebalancing Civil Liberties and Security
Middle East and South Asia
Engaging or Confronting Iran
Ending the War in Syria
Arab-Israeli Settlement
Afghanistan and Pakistan: Staying or Going
Rethinking American National Strategy
Overlearning the Lessons of the Recent Past
U.S. National Strategy.


Extracts from the Executive Summary:

In the domain of counterterrorism, the next administration must decide

• whether to combine aggressive attacks on terrorist networks with greater efforts in community outreach, counter messaging, counter radicalization, and other measures to reduce support for and participation in violent extremism

• whether to supplement air strikes against ISIS with participation in ground combat in Iraq and, eventually, Syria

• how narrowly or broadly to focus counterterrorist operations: only against groups that threaten the homeland or also against those that target U.S. friends and allies.



In the Middle East and South Asia, the United States will face choices regarding ISIS, Iran, the Israeli-Palestinian divide, and Afghanistan:

• ISIS may be driven out of Iraq by the end of 2016, but as long as the civil war in Syria continues, that extremist group and others will continue to attract and inspire aspirant terrorists from all over the world. What combination of force and diplomacy should the United States employ to end that war?

• If a final nuclear accord with Iran is reached, how far should collaboration with Tehran go in Afghanistan and Iraq and in ending the civil war in Syria?

• Should the United States accept the status quo in IsraeliPalestinian relations, make more-substantial efforts to press both sides toward a two-state solution than have been tried in the past, or begin exploring more seriously the one-state alternative?

• Should all U.S. and NATO forces pull out of Afghanistan by the end of 2016, or should a small residual military presence remain?


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